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Cheat sheet
Common investing biases, one page
You cannot delete these; they ship with the brain. You can name them, spot the telltale, and build the counter into your process. The eight that cost real money:
| Bias | How it shows up | The practical counter |
|---|---|---|
| Loss aversion | Losses hurt roughly twice as much as gains feel good, so you sell winners to lock joy and cling to losers to avoid admitting pain. | Judge every holding by one question: would I buy it today? The purchase price is history; the market does not know yours. |
| Confirmation bias | Once you own it, you read the bull case and scroll past the bear case. Research becomes cheerleading. | Write the bear case before buying (the due-diligence checklist forces this), and reread it, not the bull case, at every results. |
| Recency bias | Whatever just happened feels permanent: bull markets breed invincibility, crashes breed despair, last year's winner looks like next year's. | Zoom every chart to ten years before deciding anything. The five-year statement view exists for exactly this reason. |
| Herding | Buying because everyone is buying; the asset that is everywhere is usually already expensive. | Popularity is a valuation input: the more a thing is loved, the more has to go right. Check what you are paying for consensus. |
| Overconfidence | After three good picks you are a genius; trading frequency rises; returns quietly fall with every extra decision. | Track your XIRR against a global tracker honestly (the spreadsheet does this). The benchmark is humbling, which is its job. |
| Anchoring | The price you paid, or the recent high, becomes 'true value', and you wait to 'get back to even' on a broken thesis. | The market owes you nothing back. Value is future cash flows, not your entry; if the thesis broke, even is irrelevant. |
| Sunk cost | Throwing new money after a loser because you are 'already so deep in'. The money spent is gone either way. | Averaging down is only valid when the thesis survived and you would buy fresh today. Otherwise it is doubling a mistake for pride. |
| Action bias | Volatility makes doing something feel responsible, and every trade feels like control. | Automate the plan so inaction is the default. Most portfolios are hurt more by their owner's activity than by any market. |
One meta-counter beats all eight: decisions written down in calm weather (the crash plan, the buy notes, the annual review) outrank decisions made in the moment. Process is how amateurs behave like professionals.
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Educational information, not financial advice. Figures current as of July 2026 where dated; allowances and rates change, so check the source before acting.
