Glossary
Income

Payout ratio

The share of profit handed out as dividends.

Below about 60% is generally comfortable, leaving room to reinvest and to keep paying through a bad year. Above 100% means the company is paying out more than it earns, funding the gap from cash reserves or borrowing.

A payout ratio above 100% is the single clearest early warning that a dividend cut is coming.

The formula
Payout ratio = Dividends per share ÷ Earnings per share
Figure

The divergence that precedes most disasters

Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Reported profitOperating cash

Reported profit climbing while the cash it supposedly generated goes nowhere. Either customers are not paying, or the sales were never really made.

Why it matters

It tells you whether the dividend is affordable, which the yield never does.

The mistake everyone makes

Checking the yield and not the payout ratio, which is like checking the price and not the bill.

Related terms

See Payout ratio on a real company

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