NIO (9866.HK)

Consumer · HKEX · Hong Kong

HK$39.06-1.36% today

Fundamentals

Market capHK$97.39B
Revenue growth (YoY)+112.2%
Profit margin-9.1%
Return on equity-84.0%
52-week rangeHK$31.60 to HK$61.75
Next earnings2026-05-21

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueHK$15.46
Upside to fair value-60.4%
Analyst target (mean)HK$57.24
Analyst rangeHK$46.32 to HK$86.09
Analysts covering18
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score25/100
Overall rating21/100, Sell

NIO trades at HK$39.06, which is 60% above the HK$15.46 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 25 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

About NIO

NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for power valet service. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, car beauty, and inspection services through its service centers and authorized third-party service centers; vehicle transportation and delivery, pre-delivery inspections, guidance on vehicle features, assistance with vehicle registration, and insurance processing services; insurance, maintenance, repairs, accident rescue, car washing, chauffeur services, and valet parking services; and remote monitoring and real-time diagnostics services, as well as technical, warranty, and auto financing arrangements. Further, the company is involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; design and technology development activities; manufacture of electric powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after-sales management activities. Additionally, it operates in app NIO Auto Mall where users can select from various accessories and value added services; and online auction platform. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Industry: Auto ManufacturersEmployees: 35,032HQ: China

9866.HK passes 2 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is NIO (9866.HK) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of HK$15.46, 9866.HK at HK$39.06 is 60% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.