GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL.TO)

Industrials · TOR · Canada

CAD56.01+2.23% today

Fundamentals

Market capCAD14.31B
P/E ratio108.6
Dividend yield0.17%
Revenue growth (YoY)+5.4%
Profit margin3.1%
Return on equity3.0%
52-week rangeCAD46.12 to CAD71.13

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueCAD22.16
Upside to fair value-60.4%
Analyst target (mean)CAD70.55
Analyst rangeCAD55.00 to CAD90.00
Analysts covering11
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score28/100
Overall rating20/100, Sell

Fair value: CAD22.16 (-60.4%), see how we got there

GFL Environmental Inc. trades at CAD56.01, which is 60% above the CAD22.16 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 28 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 108.6 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

GFL.TO dividend history

Dividend yield0.17%
Paid, trailing 12 monthsCAD0.090 per share
Most recent paymentCAD0.024, ex 13 Jul 2026
Ex-dividend date13 Jul 2026
Dividend payment date31 Jul 2026
5-year growth (p.a.)+15.4%
Consecutive years of growth3
Consecutive years paid6

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2026 (year to date)CAD0.0683
2025CAD0.0844
2024CAD0.0744
2023CAD0.0684
2022CAD0.0614
2021CAD0.0685
2020CAD0.0413

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

GFL.TO earnings and analyst estimates

Next earnings date29 Jul 2026 (in 3 days)
EPS estimate, next yearCAD1.34
Expected EPS growth+43.8%
Expected revenue growth+8.0%

Recommendation mix, 20 analyst ratings

15 buy3 hold2 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About GFL Environmental Inc.

GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.

Industry: Waste ManagementEmployees: 15,000HQ: United States

GFL.TO passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL.TO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of CAD22.16, GFL.TO at CAD56.01 is 60% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is GFL.TO's P/E ratio?

GFL.TO trades at 108.6 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Does GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL.TO) pay a dividend?

Yes. GFL Environmental Inc. yields 0.17% at the current share price. It has paid CAD0.090 per share over the trailing twelve months. It has paid a dividend in each of the last 6 complete calendar years. A dividend is declared by the board and can be cut at any time; a yield is a fact about the current price, not a promise.

When does GFL.TO report earnings next?

GFL Environmental Inc. is scheduled to report on 29 Jul 2026. Companies move earnings dates, so read it as scheduled rather than certain.

The full research page for GFL.TO, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.