Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN)

Industrials · NGM

$6.94-0.72% today

Price as at 1 Oct 2026, 22:21 UTC. Quotes are delayed.

Fundamentals

Market cap$1.66B
P/E ratio44.4
Revenue growth (YoY)+3.0%
Profit margin2.3%
Return on equity3.0%
52-week range$6.66 to $10.85

Valuation and ratings

Fair value estimate$6.19
Upside to fair value-10.8%
Analyst target (mean)$12.00
Analyst range$10.00 to $14.00
Analysts with price targets8
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score37/100
Overall rating28/100, very low quality

Fair value: $6.19 (-10.8%), see how we got there

Hillman Solutions Corp. trades at $6.94, close to the $6.19 our fair value estimate puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 37 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 44.4 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

HLMN earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next year$0.70
Expected EPS growth+20.4%
Expected revenue growth+5.2%

Recommendation mix, 8 published ratings

6 buy2 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Hillman Solutions Corp.

Hillman Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. The company offers automotive products, such as belts and chains, brake and fuel lines, and carburetor and throttles; clamps, clips, and couplers; spacers, bushings, and bearings; and thread repair, electrical, plugs, and wheel parts. It also provides fuses, breakers, and switches; cables and wires; grommets; light bulbs and indicators; sockets and adaptors; engraving products; fasteners, including anchors, bolts, drill bits, hurricanes, nails, pins, rings, rivets, screws, sockets, spacers, staples, threaded inserts and rods, ties, tools/brushes, washers, wire hardware, and wood parts; and fluid flow components. In addition, the company offers hardware products comprising connections, caps and plugs, door and windows, fences, garage doors, gates, household, interiors, knobs and handles, magnets, rail, gangers, reinforcements, security, shims and wedges, and springs products; key accessories; markers/reflectors, numbers, letters, plaques, signs, stencils, survey and flagging tapes; fittings, connectors, torches, and burners liquefied petroleum gas products; and wall hangings consists of adhesives, frame hardware, hooks, kits, mirror, picture hanging, tool-free mounting, and wall hanging accessories. Further, it provides plumbing products; power tool accessories; rods, shapes, and sheets; and safety and security products. It offers its products under the Power Pro, All Points, OOK, Hardware Essentials, Fastening Systems, Paulin, The Steel Works, Deck Plus, Grease Monkey, Firm Grip, Magnifeye, True Grip, AWP, Shaded Eye, McGuire-Nicholas, Gorilla Grip, intex, Axxess+, resharp, minuteokay, OTR, Digz, Fas-n-Tite, Ozco, High & Mighty, Premium Defense, Keykrafter, KeyHero, Quick-Tag, TagWorks, and FIDO brand names. Hillman Solutions Corp. is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Industry: Tools & AccessoriesEmployees: 3,986HQ: United States

Company profile, industry and headcount are as reported by our data provider and can lag a company's own filings by a reporting period. The annual report is the authority.

HLMN passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

7 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

Politician trades in HLMN

Trades in HLMN disclosed by members of Congress and executive-branch officials, latest first:

  • Gilbert Cisneros · HouseBuy · $1,001 - $15,000 · traded 3 Mar 2025 · disclosed 6 Mar 2025

A disclosure reports a value band, not an amount, and is due up to 45 days after the trade; some arrive later. Every filer we track, each with their own page, is on the Congress trading tracker.

HLMN peers

The largest companies in the same industry (Tools & Accessories), then in the same sector.

Every industrials company we cover is on the Industrials hub.

Common questions

Is Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) undervalued?

Against our fair value estimate of $6.19, HLMN at $6.94 is 11% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation. It is built from normalized earning power with growth capped deliberately low, which understates companies whose value is mostly future growth.

Which funds own HLMN?

7 of the institutions we track reported a position in HLMN in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

What is HLMN's P/E ratio?

HLMN trades at 44.4 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Where does SteadyShares get its HLMN data?

Fundamentals for HLMN come from company filings and exchange data, as listed on NGM; institutional ownership comes from SEC 13F filings. The share price shown was last refreshed on 1 Oct 2026, 22:21 UTC and is delayed. Our data quality score for this company is 92/100, which is the share of the inputs behind our scores that were actually available rather than assumed. Metrics we do not hold are left out of the page rather than estimated.

The full research page for HLMN, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.