Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
Consumer · NASDAQ · US
Fundamentals
Valuation and ratings
Lululemon Athletica trades at $118.79, close to the $105.06 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.
Our moat model scores it 73 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.
It changes hands at 9.6 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.
About Lululemon Athletica
lululemon athletica inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Greece, and internationally. It offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for athletic activities, such as yoga, running, training, and other activities. The company also provides fitness-inspired accessories. It sells its products through company-operated stores; seasonal stores, pop-ups, university campus retailers, and yoga and fitness studios; outlets; Like New, a re-commerce program; and its e-commerce website. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
LULU passes 3 of our 30 screens today
Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.
Smart money ownership
17 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:
- Cliff Asness, AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC$223.26M · 0.1% of book
- Marshall Wace, MARSHALL WACE, LLP$161.93M · 0.2% of book
- Andreas Halvorsen, VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS LP$150.12M · 0.4% of book
- Steve Cohen, Point72 Asset Management, L.P.$91.69M · 0.1% of book
- Ken Griffin, CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$89.50M · 0.0% of book
A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.
Common questions
Is Lululemon Athletica (LULU) undervalued?
Against our discounted cash flow estimate of $105.06, LULU at $118.79 is 12% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.
Which funds own LULU?
17 of the institutions we track reported a position in LULU in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.
What is LULU's P/E ratio?
LULU trades at 9.6 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.
The full research page for LULU, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.
Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.
