Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR.AX)

Basic Materials · ASX · Australia

AUD19.24+3.89% today

Fundamentals

Market capAUD5.83B
P/E ratio41.5
Revenue growth (YoY)+17.3%
Profit margin10.8%
Return on equity7.5%
52-week rangeAUD10.11 to AUD21.75

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueAUD16.55
Upside to fair value-14.0%
Analyst target (mean)AUD20.08
Analyst rangeAUD15.50 to AUD24.00
Analysts covering14
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score65/100
Overall rating48/100, Hold

Fair value: AUD16.55 (-14.0%), see how we got there

Sandfire Resources Limited trades at AUD19.24, close to the AUD16.55 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 65 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 41.5 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

SFR.AX dividend history

Most recent paymentAUD0.030, ex 14 Mar 2022
Ex-dividend date15 Mar 2022
5-year growth (p.a.)-29.2%
Consecutive years paid9

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2022AUD0.0301
2021AUD0.3142
2020AUD0.1762
2019AUD0.2132
2018AUD0.2502
2017AUD0.1662
2016AUD0.1022
2015AUD0.1202
2014AUD0.0921

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

SFR.AX earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next yearAUD1.56
Expected EPS growth+51.0%
Expected revenue growth+16.8%

Recommendation mix, 14 analyst ratings

8 buy5 hold1 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Sandfire Resources Limited

Sandfire Resources Limited, a mining company, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral tenements and projects. It primarily explores for copper, gold, silver, lead, and zinc deposits. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Industry: CopperEmployees: 1,355HQ: Australia

Common questions

Is Sandfire Resources Limited (SFR.AX) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of AUD16.55, SFR.AX at AUD19.24 is 14% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is SFR.AX's P/E ratio?

SFR.AX trades at 41.5 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

The full research page for SFR.AX, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.