Twilio Inc. (TWLO)
Technology · NYSE · US
Fundamentals
Valuation and ratings
Twilio Inc. trades at $206.70, which is 58% above the $85.82 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.
Our moat model scores it 52 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.
It changes hands at 320.2 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.
About Twilio Inc.
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
TWLO passes 1 of our 30 screens today
Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.
Smart money ownership
18 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:
- Scott Ferguson, Sachem Head Capital Management LP$288.76M · 7.0% of book
- Ken Griffin, CITADEL ADVISORS LLC$242.88M · 0.0% of book
- Steve Cohen, Point72 Asset Management, L.P.$119.77M · 0.1% of book
- David Greenspan, Slate Path Capital LP$93.46M · 1.4% of book
- Josh Resnick, Jericho Capital Asset Management L.P.$87.76M · 1.3% of book
A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.
Common questions
Is Twilio Inc. (TWLO) undervalued?
Against our discounted cash flow estimate of $85.82, TWLO at $206.70 is 58% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.
Which funds own TWLO?
18 of the institutions we track reported a position in TWLO in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.
What is TWLO's P/E ratio?
TWLO trades at 320.2 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.
The full research page for TWLO, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.
Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.