Heineken Holding N.V. (HKHHY)

Consumer Defensive · OQX · US

USD40.08+8.03% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD21.75B
P/E ratio20.5
Dividend yield2.81%
Revenue growth (YoY)-2.8%
Profit margin3.3%
Return on equity10.1%
52-week rangeUSD33.58 to USD43.51

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD33.49
Upside to fair value-16.4%
Moat score39/100
Overall rating44/100, Reduce

Heineken Holding N.V. trades at USD40.08, which is 16% above the USD33.49 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 39 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 20.5 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Heineken Holding N.V.

Heineken Holding N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in brewing and selling beer and cider in the Netherlands, Europe, the Americas, Africa & Middle East, Asia Pacific and internationally. The company's portfolio consists of approximately 340 international, regional, local, and specialty beers and ciders. The company was founded in 1864 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Heineken Holding N.V. is a subsidiary of L'Arche Green N.V.

Industry: Beverages - BrewersEmployees: 87,870HQ: Netherlands

HKHHY passes 2 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Heineken Holding N.V. (HKHHY) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD33.49, HKHHY at USD40.08 is 16% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is HKHHY's P/E ratio?

HKHHY trades at 20.5 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.