Super Group (SPG.JO)

Industrials · JSE · South Africa

R19.37+3.31% today

Fundamentals

Market capR6.73B
P/E ratio4.9
Revenue growth (YoY)+7.0%
Profit margin7.7%
Return on equity6.4%
52-week rangeR12.54 to R20.98

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueR37.65
Upside to fair value+94.4%
Analyst target (mean)R20.77
Analyst rangeR20.20 to R21.10
Analysts covering3
Consensus viewnone
Moat score30/100
Overall rating51/100, Hold

Super Group trades at R19.37, which is 94% below the R37.65 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 30 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 4.9 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Super Group

Super Group Limited engages in the supply chain management, mobility, dealership, and fleet management activities in South Africa, sub-Saharan Africa, Europe, and the United Kingdom. It operates through seven segments: Supply Chain Africa, Supply Chain Europe, Fleet Africa, SG Fleet, Dealerships SA, Dealerships UK, and Services. The company provides supply chain services comprising primary and secondary distribution, multi-temperature-controlled product distribution, integrated distribution to the national convenience market, bonded cross-border transport, warehousing, supply chain optimisation and consulting, brand management, sales and merchandising, courier services, and procurement. It also offers fleet management solutions for specific transport and vehicle management needs of various customers; and various value-added services, such as driver, fuel, and tyre management; accident and insurance administration; fleet optimization and route planning; vehicle tracking and recovery; call center; and repair services. In addition, it provides end-to-end logistics, warehousing and customs clearance; and transportation and logistics solutions. Further, the company offers passenger and commercial vehicles. Super Group Limited was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.

Industry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsEmployees: 18,800HQ: South Africa

SPG.JO passes 3 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Super Group (SPG.JO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of R37.65, SPG.JO at R19.37 is 94% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is SPG.JO's P/E ratio?

SPG.JO trades at 4.9 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.