Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Communications · NYSE · US

$476.08+1.33% today

Fundamentals

Market cap$98.65B
P/E ratio32.7
Revenue growth (YoY)+8.2%
Profit margin15.4%
Return on equity38.0%
52-week range$405.00 to $748.30
Next earnings2026-08-04

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair value$645.38
Upside to fair value+35.6%
Analyst target (mean)$598.21
Analyst range$390.09 to $718.73
Analysts covering38
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score70/100
Overall rating69/100, Buy

Spotify Technology trades at $476.08, which is 36% below the $645.38 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 70 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 32.7 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Spotify Technology

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts, including video, lossless music, and audiobooks in select markets through subscription offerings primarily sold directly to end users and partners. The Ad-Supported segment provides limited on-demand online access to its catalog of music and online and offline access to its catalog of podcasts on computers, tablets, mobile devices, and other smart devices. The company also offers sales, distribution and marketing, contract research and development, and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Industry: Internet Content & InformationEmployees: 7,258HQ: Sweden

SPOT passes 4 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Spotify Technology (SPOT) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of $645.38, SPOT at $476.08 is 36% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is SPOT's P/E ratio?

SPOT trades at 32.7 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

The full research page for SPOT, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.