Telefonica (TEF.MC)

Communications · BME · Europe

€3.60-3.90% today

Fundamentals

Market cap€19.88B
Dividend yield4.25%
Revenue growth (YoY)-12.4%
Profit margin-9.5%
Return on equity-8.9%
52-week range€3.24 to €4.89
Next earnings2026-07-29

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair value€2.58
Upside to fair value-28.3%
Analyst target (mean)€4.00
Analyst range€3.00 to €5.00
Analysts covering22
Consensus viewhold
Moat score28/100
Overall rating25/100, Sell

Telefonica trades at €3.60, which is 28% above the €2.58 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 28 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

About Telefonica

Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and public administrations, including cloud, cybersecurity, IoT, artificial intelligence, and professional services. It also provides wholesale services to other operators; fixed and wireless telephony services. It is also involved in the wholesale commercialization of a fiber-to-the-home network; and manages borrowing activities. In addition, the company offers ecosystem services, such as devices, health, insurance, video content, solar energy, alarm systems, advertising, financial services and education, etc.; traffic, connection fees, regular network usage fees, interconnection, network and equipment leasing, and handset sales; and other digital services comprising Pay TV and value-added services. Telefónica, S.A. was incorporated in 1924 and is based in Madrid, Spain.

Industry: Telecom ServicesEmployees: 82,175HQ: Spain

TEF.MC passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Telefonica (TEF.MC) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of €2.58, TEF.MC at €3.60 is 28% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.