The Lottery Corporation Limited (TLC.AX)

Consumer Cyclical · ASX · Australia

AUD5.43-0.18% today

Fundamentals

Market capAUD8.73B
P/E ratio35.1
Dividend yield2.81%
Revenue growth (YoY)+2.0%
Profit margin9.6%
Return on equity113.9%
52-week rangeAUD5.00 to AUD6.00

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueAUD2.24
Upside to fair value-58.7%
Analyst target (mean)AUD5.81
Analyst rangeAUD5.00 to AUD6.60
Analysts covering14
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score61/100
Overall rating35/100, Reduce

Fair value: AUD2.24 (-58.7%), see how we got there

The Lottery Corporation Limited trades at AUD5.43, which is 59% above the AUD2.24 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 61 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 35.1 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

TLC.AX dividend history

Dividend yield2.81%
Paid, trailing 12 monthsAUD0.165 per share
Most recent paymentAUD0.080, ex 24 Feb 2026
Ex-dividend date25 Feb 2026
Consecutive years paid3

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2026 (year to date)AUD0.0801
2025AUD0.1652
2024AUD0.1852
2023AUD0.1502

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

TLC.AX earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next yearAUD0.18
Expected EPS growth+12.3%
Expected revenue growth+12.2%

Recommendation mix, 15 analyst ratings

7 buy7 hold1 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About The Lottery Corporation Limited

The Lottery Corporation Limited engages in provision of gaming services in Australia. It operates lottery and Keno games under The Lott and Keno brand names. The company was founded in 1881 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Industry: GamblingEmployees: 900HQ: Australia

TLC.AX passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is The Lottery Corporation Limited (TLC.AX) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of AUD2.24, TLC.AX at AUD5.43 is 59% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is TLC.AX's P/E ratio?

TLC.AX trades at 35.1 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Does The Lottery Corporation Limited (TLC.AX) pay a dividend?

Yes. The Lottery Corporation Limited yields 2.81% at the current share price. It has paid AUD0.165 per share over the trailing twelve months. It has paid a dividend in each of the last 3 complete calendar years. A dividend is declared by the board and can be cut at any time; a yield is a fact about the current price, not a promise.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.