Treasury Wine Estates (TWE.AX)

Consumer · ASX · Australia

A$4.75-1.66% today

Fundamentals

Market capA$3.69B
Dividend yield8.81%
Revenue growth (YoY)-16.6%
Profit margin-15.9%
Return on equity-9.9%
52-week rangeA$3.34 to A$8.21
Next earnings2026-08-13

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueA$4.77
Upside to fair value+0.4%
Analyst target (mean)A$5.43
Analyst rangeA$4.50 to A$7.00
Analysts covering14
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score33/100
Overall rating51/100, Hold

Treasury Wine Estates trades at A$4.75, close to the A$4.77 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 33 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

About Treasury Wine Estates

Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company engages in the viticulture and winemaking, as well as marketing, sale, and distribution of wine. Its wine portfolio includes brands, such as Penfolds, DAOU Vineyards, 19 Crimes, Drop of Sunshine, Frank Family Vineyards, Wolf Blass, St Hubert's The Stag, Matua, Lindeman's, Squealing Pig, Blossom Hill, Pepper Jack, Wynns, Seppelt, Beringer, Etude, Sterling Vineyards, Beaulieu Vineyard, Stags' Leap, Beringer Bros, and Castello di Gabbiano. The company also provides contract bottling services to third parties. In addition, it is involved in the sale of grape and bulk wine, as well as ownership and leasing of vineyards. The company markets and sells its products to distributors, wholesalers, retail chains, independent retailers, and on-premises outlets, as well as directly to consumers. Treasury Wine Estates Limited was founded in 1843 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Industry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesEmployees: 2,500HQ: Australia

TWE.AX passes 3 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Treasury Wine Estates (TWE.AX) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of A$4.77, TWE.AX at A$4.75 is 0% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

The full research page for TWE.AX, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.