Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP)

Energy · NYQ · US

USD6.24+33.05% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD6.41B
P/E ratio10.9
Dividend yield5.27%
Revenue growth (YoY)+10.3%
Profit margin2.1%
Return on equity19.2%
52-week rangeUSD2.80 to USD6.28
Next earnings2026-05-06

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD13.20
Upside to fair value+111.5%
Analyst target (mean)USD6.43
Analyst rangeUSD5.00 to USD7.92
Analysts covering8
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score34/100
Overall rating67/100, Buy

Ultrapar Participações S.A. trades at USD6.24, which is 112% below the USD13.20 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 34 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 10.9 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Ultrapar Participações S.A.

Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure sectors in Brazil, the rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Ultragaz, Ipiranga, Ultracargo, and Hidrovias segments. The company distributes and sells oil-related products, biofuels, gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and additive fuels under the Ipimax brand to carriers, resellers, and retailers; operates service stations under the Ipiranga brand and convenience stores under the AmPm brand; and produces and sells lubricants under the ICONIC brand. It also engages in the distribution of bulk and bottled liquefied petroleum gas for the residential, condominium, trade, services, industrial, and agribusiness sectors; operation of a natural gas pipeline network; and provision of renewable electricity for businesses and households, as well as compressed natural gas and biomethane for corporate clients. In addition, the company operates liquid bulk storage terminals in logistics centers; waterway and multimodal infrastructure; and port operations. Further, the company offers logistics solutions for handling grains, ores, and fertilizers; automotive services through Jet Oil units; and loyalty programs under the Km de Vantagens (KMV) brand. It also exports its products and services. Ultrapar Participações S.A. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingEmployees: 11,481HQ: Brazil

UGP passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Ultrapar Participações S.A. (UGP) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD13.20, UGP at USD6.24 is 112% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is UGP's P/E ratio?

UGP trades at 10.9 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.