Adagene Inc. (ADAG)

Healthcare · NGM

USD3.20-5.04% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD211.43M
Revenue growth (YoY)+7332.8%
Profit margin-229.6%
Return on equity-34.4%
52-week rangeUSD1.30 to USD4.85

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD1.28
Upside to fair value-60.0%
Analyst target (mean)USD10.74
Analyst rangeUSD7.00 to USD17.45
Analysts covering6
Consensus viewstrong buy
Moat score41/100
Overall rating27/100, Sell

Fair value: USD1.28 (-60.0%), see how we got there

Adagene Inc. trades at USD3.20, which is 60% above the USD1.28 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 41 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

ADAG earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next year-USD0.52
Expected EPS growth-2.0%
Expected revenue growth+25.4%

Recommendation mix, 7 analyst ratings

6 buy1 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Adagene Inc.

Adagene Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the research, development, and production of monoclonal antibody drugs for cancers in the People's Republic of China. Its lead product candidate is the ADG126, a masked fully-human anti-CTLA-4 mAb which is in phase 1b/2 clinical development for the treatment of cancer. The company also develops ADG116, a fully human anti-CTLA-4 antibody generated using NEObody technology, which is in phase 1b/2 clinical trials to treat advanced/metastatic solid tumors; ADG206, which is in phase 1 clinical development to treat advanced metastatic solid tumors; ADG104, anti-PD-L1 monoclonal antibody which is in phase 2 clinical development; and ADG125, a novel anti-CSF-1R mAb which is in Phase 2 clinical development. In addition, it is developing ADG138, a HER2xCD3 POWERbody which is in pre clinical trial to treat low expressing tumors, as well as resistant/refractory tumors; ADG152, a CD20xCD3 POWERbody which is in preclincal trial to treat off-tumor toxicities; ADG153, a masked anti-CD47 IgG1 SAFEbody, wihx is in preclinical trial for the treatment of hematologic and solid tumor; and CD28 T-cell engagers, an anti-CD28 bispecific POWERbody TCEs to treat solid tumors. Adagene Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Industry: BiotechnologyEmployees: 128HQ: China

ADAG passes 2 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

1 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

Common questions

Is Adagene Inc. (ADAG) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD1.28, ADAG at USD3.20 is 60% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

Which funds own ADAG?

1 of the institutions we track reported a position in ADAG in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

The full research page for ADAG, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.