Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT)

Healthcare · NGM

USD5.53-4.49% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD169.69M
Revenue growth (YoY)-93.0%
Profit margin-143.8%
Return on equity-37.0%
52-week rangeUSD5.50 to USD24.17

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD6.73
Upside to fair value+21.7%
Analyst target (mean)USD20.60
Analyst rangeUSD8.00 to USD40.00
Analysts covering10
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score10/100
Overall rating28/100, Sell

Fair value: USD6.73 (+21.7%), see how we got there

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. trades at USD5.53, which is 22% below the USD6.73 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 10 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

ARCT dividend history

Dividend payment date16 Nov 2017

No individual payments are on record for this listing, so the current facts above are all we can honestly show.

ARCT earnings and analyst estimates

Next earnings date7 May 2026
EPS estimate, next year-USD4.02
Expected EPS growth-4.3%
Expected revenue growth+50.1%

Recommendation mix, 13 analyst ratings

10 buy3 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a messenger RNA medicines company, focuses on the development of liver and respiratory rare disease therapeutics. Its technology platforms include STARR, a self-amplifying mRNA technology platform, and LUNAR, a lipid-mediated delivery system. The company also develops ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), an mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis that is in Phase 2 clinical development; and ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), which is in Phase 2 clinical development to address ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency. In addition, it develops KOSTAIVE, a self-amplifying RNA vaccine for COVID-19; ARCT-2138 (LUNAR-FLU), which is in Phase1 clinical trial for the treatment of seasonal influenza; and ARCT-2304 (LUNAR-H5N1) that is in Phase1 clinical trial for the treatment of Pandemic Influenza. Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Industry: BiotechnologyEmployees: 106HQ: United States

ARCT passes 2 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

5 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

Common questions

Is Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD6.73, ARCT at USD5.53 is 22% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

Which funds own ARCT?

5 of the institutions we track reported a position in ARCT in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

The full research page for ARCT, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.