Femsa (FEMSAUBD.MX)

Consumer · BMV · Mexico

Mex$225.06+2.64% today

Fundamentals

Market capMex$920.53B
P/E ratio16.3
Dividend yield2.13%
Revenue growth (YoY)+6.1%
Profit margin3.3%
Return on equity12.4%
52-week rangeMex$156.00 to Mex$234.47

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueMex$491.28
Upside to fair value+118.3%
Analyst target (mean)Mex$236.35
Analyst rangeMex$215.00 to Mex$316.00
Analysts covering13
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score52/100
Overall rating64/100, Buy

Femsa trades at Mex$225.06, which is 118% below the Mex$491.28 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 52 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 16.3 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Femsa

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, operates as a franchise bottler of Coca-Cola trademark beverages worldwide. The company operates through Coca-Cola FEMSA, Proximity Americas Division, Proximity Europe Division, Health Division, Fuel Division, and Others segments. It produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company also operates small-box retail chain stores in Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile, Brazil, and the United States under the OXXO name; retail service stations for fuels, motor oils, lubricants, and car care products under the OXXO GAS name in Mexico; and drugstores in Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Mexico under the Cruz Verde, Fybeca, Sana Sana, YZA, La Moderna, and Farmacon names. In addition, the company provides transport logistics and maintenance services in Mexico, Brazil, and Colombia; processes electronic transactions for small and medium-sized businesses under the Spin name; and engages in the proximity discount grocery business under the Bara name. Further, it operates small-box retail and foodvenience chain stores in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Luxembourg, and the Netherlands under the k kiosk, Brezelkönig, BackWerk, Ditsch, Press & Books, avec, Caffè Spettacolo, and ok.– brands. Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Monterrey, Mexico.

Industry: Beverages - BrewersEmployees: 370,426HQ: Mexico

FEMSAUBD.MX passes 5 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Femsa (FEMSAUBD.MX) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of Mex$491.28, FEMSAUBD.MX at Mex$225.06 is 118% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is FEMSAUBD.MX's P/E ratio?

FEMSAUBD.MX trades at 16.3 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.