Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR)

Energy · NYQ

USD6.40+0.79% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD796.47M
Revenue growth (YoY)-19.1%
Profit margin-7.6%
Return on equity-4.3%
52-week rangeUSD4.14 to USD7.02

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD6.20
Upside to fair value-3.1%
Moat score21/100
Overall rating32/100, Reduce

Fair value: USD6.20 (-3.1%), see how we got there

Greenfire Resources Ltd. trades at USD6.40, close to the USD6.20 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 21 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

GFR earnings and analyst estimates

Next earnings date6 May 2026

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Industry: Oil & Gas E&PEmployees: 197HQ: Canada

GFR passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

4 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

Common questions

Is Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD6.20, GFR at USD6.40 is 3% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

Which funds own GFR?

4 of the institutions we track reported a position in GFR in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

The full research page for GFR, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.