Glencore (GLN.JO)

Materials · JSE · South Africa

R114.36-8.88% today

Fundamentals

Market capR1.31T
P/E ratio228.2
Dividend yield2.45%
Revenue growth (YoY)+14.3%
Profit margin0.1%
Return on equity0.3%
52-week rangeR65.23 to R136.18

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueR246.03
Upside to fair value+115.1%
Analyst target (mean)R132.46
Analyst rangeR114.13 to R148.40
Analysts covering4
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score31/100
Overall rating57/100, Buy

Glencore trades at R114.36, which is 115% below the R246.03 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 31 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 228.2 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Glencore

Glencore plc engages in the production, refinement, processing, storage, transport, and marketing of metals and minerals, and energy products in the Americas, Europe, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The company operates in two segments, Marketing Activities and Industrial Activities. It engages in the production and marketing of copper, cobalt, lead, nickel, zinc, chrome ore, ferrochrome, vanadium, aluminum, alumina, and iron ore; and coal, crude oil, refined products, and natural gas, as well as oil exploration and production and refining and distribution. The company is also involved in marketing and distributing physical commodities sourced from third party producers to industrial consumers, including the battery, electronic, construction, automotive, steel, energy, and oil industries. In addition, the company provides financing, logistics, and other services to producers and consumers of commodities. Glencore plc was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.

Industry: Other Industrial Metals & MiningEmployees: 80,423HQ: Switzerland

GLN.JO passes 4 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Glencore (GLN.JO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of R246.03, GLN.JO at R114.36 is 115% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is GLN.JO's P/E ratio?

GLN.JO trades at 228.2 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.