H&M (HM-B.ST)
Consumer · Nasdaq Stockholm · Europe
Fundamentals
Valuation and ratings
H&M trades at kr163.45, which is 55% above the kr73.44 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.
Our moat model scores it 62 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.
It changes hands at 21.6 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.
About H&M
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) provides clothing, accessories, footwear, cosmetics, home textiles, and homeware for women, men, and children worldwide. It offers sportswear, shoes, bags, accessories, ready-to-wear, activewear, and jeans; interior products, including bed linens, towels and tablecloths, tableware, furniture, and lighting; and beauty products, such as make-up and fragrance collections. The company provides its products under the H&M, H&M HOME, H&M Move, H&M Beauty, COS, Cheap Monday, Weekday, Monki, & Other Stories, ARKET, and Singular Society brand names. In addition, it operates Sellpy, a broad digital platform for second-hand fashion and other products; Smartex.ai, a platform that detects faults in real time and helps in textile production; Syre, a platform which focuses on scaling textile-to-textile recycling primarily polyester; and A Retro Tale offers selected vintage and secondhand accessories, as well as provides collecting and sorting solutions to extend the useful life of no longer used garments through reuse and recycling under Looper Textile name. Further, the company operates seasonal vegetarian cafés and coffee shops. It offers its products through online and physical stores. H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
HM-B.ST passes 3 of our 30 screens today
Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.
Common questions
Is H&M (HM-B.ST) undervalued?
Against our discounted cash flow estimate of kr73.44, HM-B.ST at kr163.45 is 55% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.
What is HM-B.ST's P/E ratio?
HM-B.ST trades at 21.6 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.
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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.
