Northern Star Resources (NST.AX)

Materials · ASX · Australia

A$19.24-11.95% today

Fundamentals

Market capA$29.18B
P/E ratio17.4
Dividend yield2.44%
Revenue growth (YoY)+19.0%
Profit margin22.2%
Return on equity12.8%
52-week rangeA$15.30 to A$31.96

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueA$33.92
Upside to fair value+76.3%
Analyst target (mean)A$24.99
Analyst rangeA$14.20 to A$33.35
Analysts covering16
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score68/100
Overall rating77/100, Strong Buy

Northern Star Resources trades at A$19.24, which is 76% below the A$33.92 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 68 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 17.4 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Northern Star Resources

Northern Star Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, mining, and processing of gold deposits. The company also sells refined gold. It operates in Western Australia, the Northern Territory, and Alaska. Northern Star Resources Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Subiaco, Australia.

Industry: GoldHQ: Australia

NST.AX passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Northern Star Resources (NST.AX) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of A$33.92, NST.AX at A$19.24 is 76% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is NST.AX's P/E ratio?

NST.AX trades at 17.4 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

The full research page for NST.AX, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.