Is FLZH undervalued? Our fair value estimate

Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. · Communication Services · NCM

Our fair value estimate
USD3.59
Current share price
USD1.38
Upside to fair value
+160.1%
Screens as clearly undervalued. Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. trades 160% below the USD3.59 our model puts on the business. A fair value estimate is an argument, not a measurement: it is only as good as its growth assumption, and the market is frequently right about why something trades where it does.
Overall rating: 40/100, ReduceMoat score: 10/100Data quality: high confidence (75/100 of the inputs on file)

How we got here

The estimate is computed from FLZH's reported fundamentals, with a growth assumption that is deliberately capped: small changes to an uncapped growth or terminal assumption can justify any price, and a number that can justify anything means nothing. These are the inputs the model holds for FLZH today; the exact method, and where it goes wrong, is on the methodology page.

Profit margin-122.8%

Margins tell the model how much of each unit of revenue survives as profit, and how much room there is for that to erode.

Return on equity-27.7%

Persistent high returns on capital are what a moat looks like in the accounts, and they feed the moat score alongside the valuation.

Wall Street's number, next to ours

The mean analyst price target for FLZH is USD5.00 across 1 analysts, which implies +262.3% from the current price. Our estimate is USD3.59. They answer different questions: an analyst target is a 12-month price prediction averaged across banks; ours is a model's view of what the business is worth, with every assumption published. When they disagree, at least one of us is wrong.

Common questions

Is Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. (FLZH) undervalued?

On our model, FLZH at USD1.38 trades 160% below our fair value estimate of USD3.59, so it screens as undervalued today. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation: a fair value estimate is an argument about the future, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

What is the fair value of FLZH?

Our current fair value estimate for Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. is USD3.59 per share. For comparison, the mean Wall Street analyst price target is USD5.00 across 1 analysts; that is their number, computed differently from ours. The estimate moves as prices and fundamentals move.

How is FLZH's fair value calculated?

From Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc.'s reported fundamentals: earnings power, a deliberately capped growth assumption, and a discount for balance sheet and volatility risk. The full method, including its known weaknesses, is published on our methodology page, and the interactive Valuation Lab lets you change every assumption and watch the value move.

Disagree with an assumption? Good. The Valuation Lab on the FLZH app page puts every input of this model on a slider, including a reverse DCF that shows the growth the market is currently pricing in.

A fair value estimate is a model output computed from company filings and market data, refreshed daily; quotes are delayed. It is educational information, not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Read the full disclaimer.