Is TSLVF undervalued? Our fair value estimate

Tier One Silver Inc. · Unknown · OQB

Our fair value estimate
$0.02
Current share price
$0.05
Downside to fair value
-61.5%

Price as at 1 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. Quotes are delayed.

Screens as clearly overvalued. Tier One Silver Inc. trades 61% above the $0.02 our model puts on the business. A fair value estimate is an argument, not a measurement: it is only as good as its growth assumption, and the market is frequently right about why something trades where it does.
Overall rating: 5/100, very low qualityMoat score: 5/100Data quality: moderate confidence (67/100 of the inputs on file)

How we got here

The estimate is computed from TSLVF's reported fundamentals, with a growth assumption that is deliberately capped: small changes to an uncapped growth or terminal assumption can justify any price, and a number that can justify anything means nothing. These are the inputs the model holds for TSLVF today; the exact method, and where it goes wrong, is on the methodology page.

Return on equity-623.5%

Persistent high returns on capital are what a moat looks like in the accounts, and they feed the moat score alongside the valuation.

Beta1.94

A volatility measure against the wider market. A jumpier share earns a larger discount for risk, which lowers the estimate.

The belief gap: what growth this price asks you to believe

Run a discounted cash flow backwards and every price becomes a growth assumption. One axis compares them: today's market price, the entry prices implied by super investors' 13F filings, the mean analyst target, and the growth our own model funds. The gap between the market's marker and the cohort's markers is the growth you are being asked to believe that informed buyers did not need.

Our model5.0%Market29.1%
0% growth34% annual cash-flow growth

Today's price asks you to believe about 29.1% annual cash-flow growth. Our model funds 5.0%.

Entry prices are filing-implied averages (reported position value divided by reported shares for the quarter a position was opened or materially increased), not actual cost bases; 13Fs lag by up to 45 days. How the Belief Gap is computed.

Common questions

Is Tier One Silver Inc. (TSLVF) undervalued?

On our model, TSLVF at $0.05 trades 61% above our fair value estimate of $0.02, so it screens as overvalued today. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation: a fair value estimate is an argument about the future, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

What is the fair value of TSLVF?

Our current fair value estimate for Tier One Silver Inc. is $0.02 per share. The estimate moves as prices and fundamentals move.

How is TSLVF's fair value calculated?

From Tier One Silver Inc.'s reported fundamentals: earnings power, a deliberately capped growth assumption, and a discount for balance sheet and volatility risk. The full method, including its known weaknesses, is published on our methodology page, and the interactive Valuation Lab lets you change every assumption and watch the value move.

Disagree with an assumption? Good. The Valuation Lab on the TSLVF app page restates this estimate as a separate five-year discounted cash flow, puts its growth and discount rates on sliders, and runs it backwards to show the growth the market is currently pricing in.

A fair value estimate is a model output computed from company filings and market data, refreshed daily; quotes are delayed. It is educational information, not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Read the full disclaimer.