Is ZCMD undervalued? Our fair value estimate

Zhongchao Inc. · Healthcare · NCM

Our fair value estimate
USD3.08
Current share price
USD1.23
Upside to fair value
+150.6%
Screens as clearly undervalued. Zhongchao Inc. trades 151% below the USD3.08 our model puts on the business. A fair value estimate is an argument, not a measurement: it is only as good as its growth assumption, and the market is frequently right about why something trades where it does.
Overall rating: 52/100, HoldMoat score: 28/100Data quality: high confidence (83/100 of the inputs on file)

How we got here

The estimate is computed from ZCMD's reported fundamentals, with a growth assumption that is deliberately capped: small changes to an uncapped growth or terminal assumption can justify any price, and a number that can justify anything means nothing. These are the inputs the model holds for ZCMD today; the exact method, and where it goes wrong, is on the methodology page.

Revenue growth (YoY)-23.2%

The trailing growth rate informs the growth assumption, which the model caps deliberately: uncapped growth assumptions can justify any price.

Profit margin-55.5%

Margins tell the model how much of each unit of revenue survives as profit, and how much room there is for that to erode.

Return on equity-24.9%

Persistent high returns on capital are what a moat looks like in the accounts, and they feed the moat score alongside the valuation.

Healthcare peers, by our rating

The same model, run on the highest-rated names in the same sector. A gap to fair value is only comparable when the method behind it is identical, which here it is.

Common questions

Is Zhongchao Inc. (ZCMD) undervalued?

On our model, ZCMD at USD1.23 trades 151% below our fair value estimate of USD3.08, so it screens as undervalued today. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation: a fair value estimate is an argument about the future, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

What is the fair value of ZCMD?

Our current fair value estimate for Zhongchao Inc. is USD3.08 per share. The estimate moves as prices and fundamentals move.

How is ZCMD's fair value calculated?

From Zhongchao Inc.'s reported fundamentals: earnings power, a deliberately capped growth assumption, and a discount for balance sheet and volatility risk. The full method, including its known weaknesses, is published on our methodology page, and the interactive Valuation Lab lets you change every assumption and watch the value move.

Disagree with an assumption? Good. The Valuation Lab on the ZCMD app page puts every input of this model on a slider, including a reverse DCF that shows the growth the market is currently pricing in.

A fair value estimate is a model output computed from company filings and market data, refreshed daily; quotes are delayed. It is educational information, not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Read the full disclaimer.