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StrategyBeginner· 7 min read

How to use an AI assistant for investing research

The one thing to remember

Ask an AI to explain a mechanism, never to remember a figure. Figures must come from a source you can click.

The question

Get real value from an AI assistant without being confidently misled by one.

Figure

How to use an AI assistant for investing research works, in one picture

1It is a brilliant explainer2It is an unreliable database3So make it cite something you can click4Use it to argue with you

The same argument as the text, as a chain. Each step is what makes the next one possible.

Figure

The order matters more than the maths

Do I understand how it makes money?1st
Does it actually make money?2nd
Will it survive a bad year?3rd
Is it cheap?last

Cheapness is the last question. Ask it first and you produce a list of companies the market has given up on, and it is usually right.

  1. 1

    It is a brilliant explainer

    Ask what a variable interest entity is, why an inverted yield curve worries people, or what a company's filing means when it says it took a goodwill impairment, and a good model will explain it better and more patiently than most humans will.

  2. 2

    It is an unreliable database

    A language model predicts plausible text. A specific revenue figure for a specific quarter is exactly the kind of thing it can produce fluently and wrongly, and it will not sound any less confident when it does.

    The dangerous answers are not the obviously wrong ones. They are the ones that are almost right.

  3. 3

    So make it cite something you can click

    Ask SteadyShares

    Any number an assistant gives you should come with a link to where it came from. If it cannot produce one, treat the number as a rumour. This single rule removes most of the risk of using AI for research.

    SteadyShares's advisor is wired to the same data the rest of the site is: the filings, the statements and the valuation model, so what it tells you about a company is what the company reported, and you can open the page and check it.

  4. 4

    Use it to argue with you

    The best use is not asking what to buy. It is asking what would have to be true for your thesis to be wrong, and then making it argue that case as well as it can. A model has no ego invested in your position, which makes it a better sceptic than most friends.

Try it
Discounted cash flow, liveInteractive
Cash the business throws off What it is worth to you today
Fair value
£2389m
Market says
£1600m
Undervalued by
+49%
Nudge the discount rate by one point and watch fair value swing. That sensitivity is the honest reason two smart people can value the same company very differently.
You have got it when

Every number in your notes has a source you could open right now.

Read next

The bottom line

Ask an AI to explain a mechanism, never to remember a figure. Figures must come from a source you can click.

See the AI and semiconductor names

The near-monopolies and the commodities, side by side, because they look identical from outside and they are not.