AIA Group (1299.HK)

Financials · HKEX · Hong Kong

HK$76.00+1.27% today

Fundamentals

Market capHK$748.67B
P/E ratio15.7
Dividend yield2.66%
Revenue growth (YoY)+6.0%
Profit margin23.8%
Return on equity14.8%
52-week rangeHK$67.50 to HK$92.15

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueHK$159.83
Upside to fair value+110.3%
Analyst target (mean)HK$103.88
Analyst rangeHK$81.05 to HK$121.04
Analysts covering18
Consensus viewstrong buy
Moat score71/100
Overall rating82/100, Strong Buy

AIA Group trades at HK$76.00, which is 110% below the HK$159.83 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 71 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 15.7 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About AIA Group

AIA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides life insurance based financial services in Hong Kong. The company offers life insurance, accident, and health insurance and savings plans; and employee benefits, credit life, and pension services to corporate clients. It is also involved in the distribution of investment and other financial services products. It sells its products through a network of agents and partners in Mainland China, Macau, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, New Zealand, the Philippines, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Brunei, Vietnam, and India. AIA Group Limited was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Industry: Insurance - LifeHQ: Hong Kong

1299.HK passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is AIA Group (1299.HK) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of HK$159.83, 1299.HK at HK$76.00 is 110% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is 1299.HK's P/E ratio?

1299.HK trades at 15.7 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.