BAE Systems plc (BAESY)

Industrials · PNK · US

USD99.00-0.68% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD71.50B
P/E ratio27.4
Dividend yield1.97%
Revenue growth (YoY)+6.7%
Profit margin7.3%
Return on equity18.1%
52-week rangeUSD84.50 to USD126.00

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD76.72
Upside to fair value-22.5%
Analyst target (mean)USD135.77
Analyst rangeUSD131.53 to USD140.00
Analysts covering2
Consensus viewnone
Moat score44/100
Overall rating36/100, Reduce

BAE Systems plc trades at USD99.00, which is 23% above the USD76.72 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure it screens as expensive, which is not the same as saying it will fall.

Our moat model scores it 44 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 27.4 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About BAE Systems plc

BAE Systems plc provides defense, aerospace, and security solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Australia, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electronic Systems, Platforms & Services, Air, Maritime, and Cyber & Intelligence. The Electronic Systems segment offers electronic warfare systems, navigation systems, electro-optical sensors, military and commercial avionics, and precision guided solutions and communications systems, as well as space electronics, spacecraft, and ground and tactical systems. The Platforms & Services segment manufactures and sells combat vehicles, weapons, and munitions; and offers naval ship repair services, as well as operates and manages two government-owned and contractor-operated ammunition plants. The Air segment develops future combat air systems and falconworks alongside edgewing, and eurofighter and MBDA. The Maritime segment provides maritime and land services, including submarine, ship build, and support programs. The Cyber & Intelligence segment offers cyber security services for national security, central government, and government enterprises. The company was formerly known as British Aerospace plc and changed its name to BAE Systems plc in May 2000. BAE Systems plc was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Industry: Aerospace & DefenseEmployees: 111,400HQ: United Kingdom

BAESY passes 2 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is BAE Systems plc (BAESY) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD76.72, BAESY at USD99.00 is 23% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is BAESY's P/E ratio?

BAESY trades at 27.4 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

The full research page for BAESY, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.