BHP Group (BHG.JO)

Materials · JSE · South Africa

R678.01-8.81% today

Fundamentals

Market capR3.40T
P/E ratio20.2
Dividend yield3.32%
Revenue growth (YoY)+10.8%
Profit margin19.0%
Return on equity24.7%
52-week rangeR445.95 to R759.40

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueR1,471.56
Upside to fair value+117.0%
Analyst target (mean)R651.67
Analyst rangeR523.23 to R764.95
Analysts covering5
Consensus viewhold
Moat score85/100
Overall rating91/100, Strong Buy

BHP Group trades at R678.01, which is 117% below the R1,471.56 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 85 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 20.2 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About BHP Group

BHP Group Limited operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally. The company operates through Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal segments. It also engages in the mining of copper, uranium, gold, zinc, lead, molybdenum, silver, iron ore, cobalt, and metallurgical and energy coal. In addition, the company is involved in the mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, as well as potash development activities. Further, it provides towing, freight, marketing and trading, marketing support, finance, administrative, and other services. BHP Group Limited was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

Industry: Other Industrial Metals & MiningEmployees: 39,369HQ: Australia

BHG.JO passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is BHP Group (BHG.JO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of R1,471.56, BHG.JO at R678.01 is 117% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is BHG.JO's P/E ratio?

BHG.JO trades at 20.2 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.