Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO)

Industrials · NYQ

$30.47-1.58% today

Price as at 1 Oct 2026, 10:11 UTC. Quotes are delayed.

Fundamentals

P/E ratio15.9
Revenue growth (YoY)+16.6%
Profit margin10.0%
Return on equity19.3%
52-week range$12.51 to $33.15

Valuation and ratings

Fair value estimate$68.35
Upside to fair value+124.3%
Analyst target (mean)$33.75
Analyst range$27.00 to $40.00
Analysts with price targets4
Consensus viewstrong buy
Moat score44/100
Overall rating65/100, good quality

Fair value: $68.35 (+124.3%), see how we got there

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT trades at $30.47, which is 124% below the $68.35 our fair value estimate puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a valuation model is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 44 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 15.9 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

GEO dividend history

Most recent payment$0.250, ex 22 Jan 2021
5-year growth (p.a.)-32.1%
Consecutive years paid10

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2021$0.2501
2020$1.784
2019$1.924
2018$1.884
2017$1.884
2016$1.734
2015$1.674
2014$1.554
2013$1.374
2012$4.053

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

GEO earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next year$1.66
Expected EPS growth+36.3%
Expected revenue growth+8.6%

Recommendation mix, 3 published ratings

3 buy0 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Geo Group Inc (The) REIT

The GEO Group, Inc. a diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. It operates through four segments: The U.S. Secure Services segment; The Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment; The Reentry Services segment; and The International Services segment. The company provides U.S.-based secure services business; monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; and treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; secure services operations. It also offers support services, including secure custody services, food services, residential car, health and mental health care, facility management, and physical plant maintenance. The GEO Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.

Industry: Security & Protection ServicesEmployees: 18,000HQ: United States

Company profile, industry and headcount are as reported by our data provider and can lag a company's own filings by a reporting period. The annual report is the authority.

GEO passes 4 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

7 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

GEO peers

The largest companies in the same industry (Security & Protection Services), then in the same sector.

Every industrials company we cover is on the Industrials hub.

Common questions

Is Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) undervalued?

Against our fair value estimate of $68.35, GEO at $30.47 is 124% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation. It is built from normalized earning power with growth capped deliberately low, which understates companies whose value is mostly future growth.

Which funds own GEO?

7 of the institutions we track reported a position in GEO in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

What is GEO's P/E ratio?

GEO trades at 15.9 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Where does SteadyShares get its GEO data?

Fundamentals for GEO come from company filings and exchange data, as listed on NYQ; institutional ownership comes from SEC 13F filings. The share price shown was last refreshed on 1 Oct 2026, 10:11 UTC and is delayed. Our data quality score for this company is 96/100, which is the share of the inputs behind our scores that were actually available rather than assumed. Metrics we do not hold are left out of the page rather than estimated.

The full research page for GEO, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.