Harmony Gold Mining (HAR.JO)

Materials · JSE · South Africa

R245.60-14.13% today

Fundamentals

Market capR155.27B
P/E ratio9.7
Dividend yield2.76%
Revenue growth (YoY)+19.5%
Profit margin20.1%
Return on equity33.5%
52-week rangeR213.52 to R428.88

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueR546.68
Upside to fair value+122.6%
Analyst target (mean)R345.00
Analyst rangeR280.00 to R450.00
Analysts covering6
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score85/100
Overall rating89/100, Strong Buy

Harmony Gold Mining trades at R245.60, which is 123% below the R546.68 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 85 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 9.7 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Harmony Gold Mining

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. The company explores for gold, uranium, silver, and copper deposits. It has nine underground operations in the Witwatersrand Basin; the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt; and various surface source operations in South Africa. In addition, the company owns interests in the Hidden Valley, an open-pit gold and silver mine; and the Wafi-Golpu project located in Morobe Province in Papua New Guinea. Further, it holds interest in Eva Copper Project located in Queensland, Australia. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited was incorporated in 1950 and is based in Randfontein, South Africa.

Industry: GoldEmployees: 34,350HQ: South Africa

HAR.JO passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Harmony Gold Mining (HAR.JO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of R546.68, HAR.JO at R245.60 is 123% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is HAR.JO's P/E ratio?

HAR.JO trades at 9.7 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.