Kumba Iron Ore (KIO.JO)

Materials · JSE · South Africa

R279.26-9.23% today

Fundamentals

Market capR91.00B
P/E ratio6.3
Dividend yield10.86%
Revenue growth (YoY)+8.6%
Profit margin20.8%
Return on equity27.1%
52-week rangeR263.71 to R395.31

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueR386.16
Upside to fair value+38.3%
Analyst target (mean)R309.86
Analyst rangeR275.00 to R340.00
Analysts covering7
Consensus viewunderperform
Moat score86/100
Overall rating82/100, Strong Buy

Kumba Iron Ore trades at R279.26, which is 38% below the R386.16 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 86 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 6.3 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Kumba Iron Ore

Kumba Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing, sale, and shipping of iron ore for the steel industry in South Africa. It operates through Products – Sishen Mine, Products – Kolomela Mine, Services – Logistics, and Services – Shipping Operations segments. The company produces iron ore at its flagship Sishen mine located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape province; and its Kolomela mine located near Postmasburg in the Northern Cape province. It is also involved in the operation of a port in Saldanha Bay in the Western Cape province; and provision of iron ore logistics services through rail, as well as shipping services. The company exports its products to China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, rest of Africa, and rest of the Americas. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. Kumba Iron Ore Limited is a subsidiary of Anglo South Africa (Pty) Ltd.

Industry: SteelHQ: South Africa

KIO.JO passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Kumba Iron Ore (KIO.JO) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of R386.16, KIO.JO at R279.26 is 38% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is KIO.JO's P/E ratio?

KIO.JO trades at 6.3 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

The full research page for KIO.JO, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.