uCloudlink Group Inc. (UCL)

Communication Services · NGM

USD0.96+4.80% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD34.89M
P/E ratio9.2
Revenue growth (YoY)-10.1%
Profit margin4.3%
Return on equity14.5%
52-week rangeUSD0.78 to USD4.19

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD0.85
Upside to fair value-11.5%
Analyst target (mean)USD8.00
Analyst rangeUSD8.00 to USD8.00
Analysts covering1
Consensus viewnone
Moat score43/100
Overall rating34/100, Reduce

Fair value: USD0.85 (-11.5%), see how we got there

uCloudlink Group Inc. trades at USD0.96, close to the USD0.85 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 43 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 9.2 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

UCL earnings and analyst estimates

EPS estimate, next yearUSD0.06
Expected EPS growth+700.0%
Expected revenue growth+7.4%

Recommendation mix, 1 analyst rating

1 buy0 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About uCloudlink Group Inc.

uCloudlink Group Inc. operates as a mobile data traffic sharing marketplace in the telecommunications industry. The company provides uCloudlink 1.0, a model that focuses on cross-border travelers that need mobile data connectivity services in various countries; and operates portable Wi-Fi services under the Roamingman name in China and Malaysia, which provides global mobile data connectivity services, as well as offers GlocalMe portable Wi-Fi terminals and cloud SIM architecture. It offers uCloudlink 2.0, a model that provides mobile data connectivity services to local users through various MNOs; GlocalMe Inside, an implementation solution for smartphones and other smart hardware products, which enables them to access its cloud SIM architecture and SIM card pool; and GlocalMe, a world phone series. In addition, the company provides IoT modules with GlocalMe Inside implementation to meet the demand for mobile data from various terminals, as well as provides integrated network solutions to its customers; SIM cards with prepaid data packages; value-added services, such as advertisement; and PetPhone, a smartphone for pet. Further, it's platform-as-a-service/software-as-a-service offers modules, such as customer relationship management, operations and business support system, and SIM card enterprise resource planning and management. It serves connectivity management, terminal management, terminal rental and sales, customer service systems (CRM), and big data analysis sectors. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Industry: Telecom ServicesEmployees: 429HQ: Hong Kong

UCL passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is uCloudlink Group Inc. (UCL) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD0.85, UCL at USD0.96 is 11% above fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is UCL's P/E ratio?

UCL trades at 9.2 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.