Is CCNB undervalued? Our fair value estimate

Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc. · Financial Services · OQX

Our fair value estimate
USD36.86
Current share price
USD16.75
Upside to fair value
+120.1%
Screens as clearly undervalued. Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc. trades 120% below the USD36.86 our model puts on the business. A fair value estimate is an argument, not a measurement: it is only as good as its growth assumption, and the market is frequently right about why something trades where it does.
Overall rating: 60/100, BuyMoat score: 43/100Data quality: high confidence (83/100 of the inputs on file)

How we got here

The estimate is computed from CCNB's reported fundamentals, with a growth assumption that is deliberately capped: small changes to an uncapped growth or terminal assumption can justify any price, and a number that can justify anything means nothing. These are the inputs the model holds for CCNB today; the exact method, and where it goes wrong, is on the methodology page.

Earnings multiple9.5x

The starting point is earnings power: what the business earns per share, and what the market currently pays for each unit of it.

Revenue growth (YoY)+17.1%

The trailing growth rate informs the growth assumption, which the model caps deliberately: uncapped growth assumptions can justify any price.

Profit margin29.0%

Margins tell the model how much of each unit of revenue survives as profit, and how much room there is for that to erode.

Return on equity13.0%

Persistent high returns on capital are what a moat looks like in the accounts, and they feed the moat score alongside the valuation.

Beta0.17

A volatility measure against the wider market. A jumpier share earns a larger discount for risk, which lowers the estimate.

Common questions

Is Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc. (CCNB) undervalued?

On our model, CCNB at USD16.75 trades 120% below our fair value estimate of USD36.86, so it screens as undervalued today. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation: a fair value estimate is an argument about the future, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

What is the fair value of CCNB?

Our current fair value estimate for Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc. is USD36.86 per share. The estimate moves as prices and fundamentals move.

How is CCNB's fair value calculated?

From Coastal Carolina Bancshares, Inc.'s reported fundamentals: earnings power, a deliberately capped growth assumption, and a discount for balance sheet and volatility risk. The full method, including its known weaknesses, is published on our methodology page, and the interactive Valuation Lab lets you change every assumption and watch the value move.

Disagree with an assumption? Good. The Valuation Lab on the CCNB app page puts every input of this model on a slider, including a reverse DCF that shows the growth the market is currently pricing in.

A fair value estimate is a model output computed from company filings and market data, refreshed daily; quotes are delayed. It is educational information, not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Read the full disclaimer.