The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)

Consumer · NMS

$105.46-1.76% today

Price as at 30 Sept 2026, 16:50 UTC. Quotes are delayed.

Fundamentals

Market cap$5.04B
P/E ratio27.5
Dividend yield1.18%
Revenue growth (YoY)+7.7%
Profit margin4.6%
52-week range$43.07 to $118.46

Valuation and ratings

Fair value estimate$142.07
Upside to fair value+34.7%
Analyst target (mean)$90.80
Analyst range$60.00 to $104.00
Analysts with price targets15
Consensus viewhold
Moat score30/100
Overall rating59/100, good quality

Fair value: $142.07 (+34.7%), see how we got there

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated trades at $105.46, which is 35% below the $142.07 our fair value estimate puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a valuation model is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 30 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 27.5 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

CAKE dividend history

Dividend yield1.18%
Paid, trailing 12 months$1.17 per share
Most recent payment$0.300, ex 11 Aug 2026
5-year growth (p.a.)+24.6%
Consecutive years paid4

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2026 (year to date)$0.9003
2025$1.084
2024$1.084
2023$1.084
2022$0.8103
2020$0.3601
2019$1.384
2018$1.244
2017$1.064
2016$0.8804
2015$0.7304

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

CAKE earnings and analyst estimates

Next earnings date27 Oct 2026 (in 25 days)
EPS estimate, next year$4.93
Expected EPS growth+9.8%
Expected revenue growth+7.3%

Recommendation mix, 19 published ratings

4 buy14 hold1 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

Industry: RestaurantsEmployees: 48,000HQ: United States

Company profile, industry and headcount are as reported by our data provider and can lag a company's own filings by a reporting period. The annual report is the authority.

CAKE passes 1 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Super investor ownership

13 of the funds we track reported a position in their latest SEC 13F filing. Largest first:

A word of warning on reading these figures: a 13F reports the market value of a holding, so a fund that traded nothing at all still appears to have sold when the price fell. We found 102 companies where the standard reading gives the opposite answer. Only the share count is honest.

CAKE peers

The largest companies in the same industry (Restaurants), then in the same sector.

Every consumer company we cover is on the Consumer hub.

Common questions

Is The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) undervalued?

Against our fair value estimate of $142.07, CAKE at $105.46 is 35% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation. It is built from normalized earning power with growth capped deliberately low, which understates companies whose value is mostly future growth.

Which funds own CAKE?

13 of the institutions we track reported a position in CAKE in their most recent SEC 13F filing. A 13F is filed up to 45 days after quarter end, so it tells you what a fund held then, not what it holds now.

What is CAKE's P/E ratio?

CAKE trades at 27.5 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Does The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) pay a dividend?

Yes. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated yields 1.18% at the current share price. It has paid $1.17 per share over the trailing twelve months. It has paid a dividend in each of the last 4 complete calendar years. A dividend is declared by the board and can be cut at any time; a yield is a fact about the current price, not a promise.

When does CAKE report earnings next?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is scheduled to report on 27 Oct 2026. Companies move earnings dates, so read it as scheduled rather than certain.

Where does SteadyShares get its CAKE data?

Fundamentals for CAKE come from company filings and exchange data, as listed on NMS; institutional ownership comes from SEC 13F filings. The share price shown was last refreshed on 30 Sept 2026, 16:50 UTC and is delayed. Our data quality score for this company is 83/100, which is the share of the inputs behind our scores that were actually available rather than assumed. Metrics we do not hold are left out of the page rather than estimated.

The full research page for CAKE, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.