Diageo (DGE.L)

Consumer · LSE · UK

£15.80+4.88% today

Fundamentals

Market cap£33.89B
P/E ratio18.6
Dividend yield4.12%
Revenue growth (YoY)-4.0%
Profit margin12.2%
Return on equity19.7%

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair value£28.00
Upside to fair value+77.2%
Analyst target (mean)£19.51
Analyst range£14.04 to £25.43
Analysts covering22
Consensus viewbuy
Moat score80/100
Overall rating66/100, Buy

Diageo trades at £15.80, which is 77% below the £28.00 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 80 out of 100, which is a wide moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 18.6 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

About Diageo

Diageo plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America and Caribbean, and Africa. It offers beer, scotch, gin, vodka, rum, liqueur, raki, wine, Irish and Canadian whisky, US and Indian whisky, Chinese whisky, cachaça, tequila, brandy, and Chinese white spirit beverages. The company also provides ready-to-drink and non-alcoholic beverages. Its principal brands include Johnnie Walker, Don Julio, Guinness, Crown Royal, Smirnoff, Baileys, Captain Morgan, Casamigos, Shui Jing Fang, and McDowell's. The company was formerly known as Guinness plc and changed its name to Diageo plc in February 1998. The company was incorporated in 1886 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Industry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesEmployees: 29,632HQ: United Kingdom

DGE.L passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Diageo (DGE.L) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of £28.00, DGE.L at £15.80 is 77% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is DGE.L's P/E ratio?

DGE.L trades at 18.6 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.