Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOVVB)

Consumer Cyclical · PNK

USD110.000.00% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD644.56M
P/E ratio30.5
Revenue growth (YoY)-2.7%
Profit margin1.3%
Return on equity4.4%
52-week rangeUSD105.00 to USD125.00

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD117.85
Upside to fair value+7.1%
Moat score14/100
Overall rating30/100, Reduce

Fair value: USD117.85 (+7.1%), see how we got there

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. trades at USD110.00, close to the USD117.85 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On this measure the market and the model broadly agree, so the interesting question is which of them is wrong.

Our moat model scores it 14 out of 100, which is little in the way of a moat. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 30.5 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

HOVVB dividend history

Dividend payment date29 Mar 2019

No individual payments are on record for this listing, so the current facts above are all we can honestly show.

About Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, markets, and sells residential homes in the United States. It offers single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes with amenities, such as clubhouses, swimming pools, tennis courts, tot lots, and open areas. The company markets and builds homes for first-time buyers, move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active lifestyle buyers, and empty nesters. It also provides mortgage loans and title services. Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. was founded in 1959 and is based in Matawan, New Jersey.

Industry: Residential ConstructionEmployees: 1,891HQ: United States

Common questions

Is Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOVVB) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD117.85, HOVVB at USD110.00 is 7% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is HOVVB's P/E ratio?

HOVVB trades at 30.5 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

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Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.