Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI)

Real Estate · NGM

USD10.17+0.89% today

Fundamentals

Market capUSD263.52M
P/E ratio7.2
Dividend yield18.09%
Revenue growth (YoY)-34.2%
Profit margin61.8%
Return on equity10.0%
52-week rangeUSD10.02 to USD14.57

Valuation and ratings

DCF fair valueUSD14.39
Upside to fair value+41.5%
Analyst target (mean)USD16.38
Analyst rangeUSD13.50 to USD20.00
Analysts covering4
Consensus viewnone
Moat score61/100
Overall rating68/100, Buy

Fair value: USD14.39 (+41.5%), see how we got there

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. trades at USD10.17, which is 41% below the USD14.39 our discounted cash flow model puts on the business. On that measure alone it screens as undervalued, though a DCF is an argument rather than a measurement, and the market is frequently right about why something is cheap.

Our moat model scores it 61 out of 100, which is a moat, but not a deep one. A moat is a structural reason competitors cannot take the profits away, and it matters more to a long holding period than any single quarter's numbers do.

It changes hands at 7.2 times earnings. Be careful reading that in isolation: for a cyclical business a low P/E arrives at the top of the cycle, when profits are peaking and about to fall, which is exactly when the shares look cheapest and are not.

REFI dividend history

Dividend yield18.09%
Paid, trailing 12 monthsUSD1.88 per share
Most recent paymentUSD0.470, ex 30 Jun 2026
Ex-dividend date30 Jun 2026
Dividend payment date15 Jul 2026
Consecutive years paid4

Dividends per share by year

YearTotal per sharePayments
2026 (year to date)USD0.9402
2025USD1.884
2024USD2.064
2023USD2.174
2022USD2.104

Split-adjusted amounts in the listing currency, grouped by the calendar year of the ex-dividend date, from the filed record. Growth and streak figures compare complete years only.

REFI earnings and analyst estimates

Next earnings date11 Aug 2026 (in 14 days)
EPS estimate, next yearUSD1.86
Expected EPS growth+10.9%
Expected revenue growth+6.1%

Recommendation mix, 5 analyst ratings

3 buy2 hold0 sell

Estimates are the published analyst consensus and move often. An earnings date is scheduled, not certain, and a share tends to reprice most violently on the day itself.

About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a commercial mortgage real estate investment trust in the United States. It engages in originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. The company's loan portfolio is comprised of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Miami Beach, Florida.

Industry: REIT - MortgageHQ: United States

REFI passes 6 of our 30 screens today

Each screen prints the exact criteria it used, and the circumstances in which it is wrong.

Common questions

Is Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) undervalued?

Against our discounted cash flow estimate of USD14.39, REFI at USD10.17 is 41% below fair value. That is one model's answer, not a recommendation, and most of a DCF's output sits in a terminal value nobody can forecast.

What is REFI's P/E ratio?

REFI trades at 7.2 times earnings. A low P/E is not automatically cheap: on a cyclical company it is usually a warning that earnings are at a peak.

Does Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) pay a dividend?

Yes. Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. yields 18.09% at the current share price. It has paid USD1.88 per share over the trailing twelve months. It has paid a dividend in each of the last 4 complete calendar years. A dividend is declared by the board and can be cut at any time; a yield is a fact about the current price, not a promise.

When does REFI report earnings next?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. is scheduled to report on 11 Aug 2026. Companies move earnings dates, so read it as scheduled rather than certain.

The full research page for REFI, with financial statements, ownership detail, peer comparison and alerts, is free inside the app.

Data from company filings, exchange quotes and SEC EDGAR 13F disclosures. Quotes are delayed. Metrics we do not have are left out rather than estimated. Educational information, not financial advice.